funny numbers

Do you think Obama will win? The polls are in favor of Obama. So does that mean he will be elected? Guess again. In the New York Times, an article stated that some people who claim they don’t care about the skin color of a candidate, really do, because when in the privacy of a voting booth, they will vote against the candidate because of his or her race. This is called the Tom Bradley Effect. That’s why you can’t really relay on polls. People may often state falsely their true intentions about how they feel about a candidate, especially when it comes to race and politics. Sadly, many don’t think there is chance that Obama will win because of the Bradley Effect. He is only 6 points ahead of McCain, and (I hope) Obama could win if people don’t follow the Bradley Effect. But if Obama is only 6 point ahead, maybe there is only 6% of people who will really not vote for him. I think most people are over the race issue and can be adult about it. But because polls are so tired, Obama may not win. This Bradley Effect has been proven with other elections. One of them was Tom Bradley, himself, which who it was named for. Which leaves many to wonder if there will be an Obama effect?

This goes to show that you don’t trust people on what they say. What really matters is when you are alone with them to find out how they really believe to know what they will do.